Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
0 - 0
Orlando City

Oregel Jr. (27'), Oregel Jr. (27'), Gutierrez (45'), Gutierrez (45'), Gutman (70'), Gutman (70')

Dan ThorÂhallsÂson (89'), Dan ThorÂhallsÂson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Chicago Fire and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 7-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 27 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Orlando City
37.41% ( 0.09)	25.11% ( 0.05)	37.48% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.23)

46.14% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.21)

68.43% (

0.21)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

-0.06)

24.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

-0.08)

58.62% (

0.07)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0.18)

24.22% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

-0.25)

58.57% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 37.41%

Orlando City 37.48%

Draw 25.1%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.41%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.48%