Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 61.12% | 21.4% | 17.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% | 44.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% | 67.01% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% | 14.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.25% | 41.75% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% | 39.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.18% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.48% |