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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
5 - 2
Montpellier

Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
90.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.08%2.84% (-0.00090000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 41.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)89.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 90.06%
    Montpellier HSC 2.84%
    Draw 7.08%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
3-0 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 10.78%
2-0 @ 10.43%
5-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.9%
4-1 @ 6.07%
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
6-0 @ 4.46%
5-1 @ 4.28%
6-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.71%
7-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.2%
8-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 90.06%
1-1 @ 3.34%
0-0 @ 1.68%
2-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 7.08%
0-1 @ 0.95%
1-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 2.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
92.3%
Draw
5.1%
Montpellier HSC
2.6%
78
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
May 12, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
Jan 22, 2021 8pm
PSG
4-0
Montpellier
Mbappe (34', 63'), Neymar (60'), Icardi (61')
Neymar (76'), Verratti (82')

Mendes (45+1')
Omlin (19')
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Mavididi (41')
Savanier (71')
Dagba (33'), Kean (77'), Mbappe (90+1')
Kurzawa (13'), Kean (23'), Dagba (42')
rhs 2.0


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