La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
We said: Valencia 1-1 Girona
This is shaping up to be a fascinating clash, and Valencia will fancy their chances at home despite their recent run of form. Girona are already guaranteed a top-four spot, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a close match on Sunday evening.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86% . A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%) . The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result Valencia Draw Girona 35.39% ( -0.07) 27.75% ( 0.01) 36.86% ( 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.04)
42.66% ( -0.05) 57.34% ( 0.04)
21.84% ( -0.04) 78.16% ( 0.03)
69.2% ( -0.07) 30.79% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.93% ( -0.08) 67.07% ( 0.08)
70.12% ( 0.01) 29.88% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.03% ( 0.01) 65.97% ( -0.02)
Valencia 35.38%
Girona 36.86%
Draw 27.75%
Valencia Draw Girona 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.38% 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75% 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.86%
How you voted: Valencia vs Girona
74
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 12:34:18
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