Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
61.75% ( -0.01) | 21% ( -0.01) | 17.25% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0.06) | 43.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0.06) | 65.65% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( 0.02) | 13.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.51% ( 0.03) | 40.48% ( -0.03) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0.06) | 38.5% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( 0.06) | 75.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |