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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
0 - 2
Millwall


Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Millwall

With very little separating the sides in the table, home form could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome here. Plymouth have shown fine form at home with three big wins so far this season and are slight favourites to make that four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
30.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 24.63% (-0.142 -0.14) 44.38% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.479 0.48)45.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.456 0.46)67.71% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.425 0.42)20.54% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.669 0.67)53.05% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.99%
    Millwall 44.38%
    Draw 24.63%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.99%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Millwall
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
Mar 20, 2005 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Plymouth
Sweeney (15'), Hayles (56'), Dichio (63')

Gudjonsson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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