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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee logo

Motherwell
3 - 3
Dundee

Biereth (6'), Mugabi (68'), Wilkinson (90+7')
Butcher (44'), Casey (49'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Paton (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cameron (30'), Beck (34'), Robinson (88')
Boateng (80'), McCowan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Hibernian
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Dundee

Motherwell's long winless run is bound to end soon, and Kettlewell needs it to in order to ease the pressure on himself, despite a spirited effort in drawing away to Celtic last week. However, Dundee have proved tricky opponents for many this season, and will look to break into the top six with a result here, having lost just two of their last eight games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee
31.79% (-0.22 -0.22) 26.8% (-0.146 -0.15) 41.41% (0.365 0.37)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.51300000000001 0.51)54.25% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.427 0.43)75.65% (-0.425 -0.42)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.113 0.11)31.62% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.129 0.13)68.03% (-0.128 -0.13)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.42800000000001 0.43)25.83% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (0.578 0.58)60.79% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 31.79%
    Dundee 41.4%
    Draw 26.8%
MotherwellDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee
1-1
Motherwell
Cameron (68')
Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
1-1
Dundee
Efford (18')
McMullan (6')
Daley-Campbell (53'), Byrne (83')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee
3-0
Motherwell
McCowan (19'), Mullen (26'), Sweeney (49')
Mullen (45'), Sweeney (59'), Fontaine (76')

Slattery (10'), Mugabi (58'), Roberts (81')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Dundee
Watt (34')
van Veen (73'), Kelly (80')
Carroll (79')

McGowan (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Dundee
1-0
Motherwell
Ashcroft (78')
Elliott (52'), Byrne (73'), Adam (90+1')

Donnelly (34'), Slattery (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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