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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Stockport County

Forest Green
0 - 3
Stockport


Osadebe (33'), Bunker (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Camps (18'), Richards (28'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Stockport County

Stockport's emphatic victory against their promotion rivals MK Dons last time out could prove to be a hugely important one, not least as it is likely to breathe new fire into their final eight matches of the season. Forest Green have lost successive games in recent weeks and we would be amazed if that is not extended to three by the time that the referee's full-time whistle blows on Friday, and they may be lucky to avoid a thrashing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
19.47% (0.029 0.03) 22.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 57.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)38.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 19.47%
    Stockport County 57.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.94%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Stockport

Forest Green Rovers
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Stockport County
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stockport
2-0
Forest Green
Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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