Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
West Brom

Yates (28'), Holgate (68' og.)
Adams (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diangana (81')
Fellows (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
40.27% ( 0.19)	26.93% ( -0.09)	32.8% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

0.35)

54.49% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

0.29)

75.85% (

-0.29)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.27)

26.55% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.35)

61.75% (

-0.35)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

0.11)

31.06% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

0.13)

67.37% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Derby County 40.27%

West Bromwich Albion 32.8%

Draw 26.92%

Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.27%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 32.8%