League One

League One | 2nd Leg

May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 3
Barnsley

(Bolton Wanderers win 5-4 on aggregate)

Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will have to take risks to have any hope of mounting a comeback, but we think that could play into Bolton's hands, which is why we believe that the hosts will add to their two-goal cushion and book their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
54.53% ( -1.36)	21.46% ( 0.39)	24% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 62.7% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.15% (

-0.78)

35.85% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07% (

-0.86)

57.93% (

0.87)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

-0.66)

13.24% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60% (

-1.36)

40% (

1.36)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26% (

0.34)

27.73% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

0.43)

63.3% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 54.53%

Barnsley 24%

Draw 21.46%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.97% Total : 54.53%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.63% Total : 24%