La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
1 - 2
Las Palmas

Ramazani (73')
Baba (18'), Robertone (31'), Montes (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Haddadi (23'), Kaba (90+4')
Cardona (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-1 Las Palmas

Las Palmas do not concede many, but they have real problems finding the back of the net, and if Almeria can score first, we fancy them to avoid defeat here. It is difficult to back the hosts to win due to their struggles in that department this season, but we can see the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Las Palmas
38.18% ( 1.75)	26.66% ( 0.19)	35.15% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.94% (

-0.87)

53.05% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36% (

-0.75)

74.64% (

0.74)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

0.6)

27.03% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

0.78)

62.39% (

-0.79)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-1.58)

28.82% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

-2.01)

64.68% (

2.01)

Score Analysis

Almeria 38.18%

Las Palmas 35.15%

Draw 26.65%

Almeria	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.18%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.15%