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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
1 - 2
Harrogate

Taylor (12')
Lewis (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bilongo (19'), March (22')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Morecambe
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 26 at 1pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
40.37% (2.043 2.04)26.21% (-0.1 -0.1)33.42% (-1.946 -1.95)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.12 0.12)51.42% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.103 0.1)73.24% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (1.157 1.16)25.09% (-1.159 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (1.576 1.58)59.77% (-1.579 -1.58)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-1.153 -1.15)29.12% (1.152 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-1.447 -1.45)65.04% (1.443 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 40.37%
    Harrogate Town 33.42%
    Draw 26.2%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.281 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.241 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.292 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.42%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Harrogate
1-2
Morecambe
Daly (86')
Williams (37'), Macadam (90+6')
Macadam (90+2'), Adams (91')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Morecambe
2-2
Harrogate
Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')