League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 3
Salford City

Songo'o (52')
Lewis (58'), Songo'o (66'), White (67'), Fairclough (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ashley (3'), Stockton (41'), N'Mai (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 1-0 Morecambe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Salford City
32.62% ( 0.07)	25.4% ( 0.02)	41.97% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

-0.05)

48.2% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

-0.05)

70.36% (

0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.02)

28.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

0.02)

63.7% (

-0.02)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.06)

22.85% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

-0.09)

56.58% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 32.62%

Salford City 41.97%

Draw 25.4%

Morecambe	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.62%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.97%