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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Salford City

Morecambe
1 - 3
Salford City

Songo'o (52')
Lewis (58'), Songo'o (66'), White (67'), Fairclough (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ashley (3'), Stockton (41'), N'Mai (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-0 Morecambe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 0-2 Salford City

Morecambe find themselves eight points away from safety with just three games to go and must secure maximum points here and hope for favourable results elsewhere to keep their slim survival hopes alive. However, Salford have been rock-solid on their travels in recent weeks and we predict that they will deliver the final blow to what has been an underwhelming campaign for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawSalford City
32.62% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 25.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 41.97% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)48.2% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)70.36% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.04% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)22.85% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)56.58% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.62%
    Salford City 41.97%
    Draw 25.4%
MorecambeDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Salford City

Morecambe
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Salford City
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Salford City
1-0
Morecambe
Lund (47')
Ashley (45+1')

Williams (16')
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 39
Salford City
3-1
Morecambe
McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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