League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Yann Songo'o 52' goal
  • Adam Lewis 58' yellowcard
  • Yann Songo'o 66' yellowcard
  • Tom White 67' yellowcard
  • Adam Fairclough 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ossama Ashley 3'
  • goal Cole Stockton 41'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 86'

Morecambe vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Bromley 1 - 0 Morecambe
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Tollitt

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 2 Accrington
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result

Morecambe 32.62% (+0.07)
Draw 25.4% (+0.02)
Salford City 41.97% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.8% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.2% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.64% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.36% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.04)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 71.96% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.3% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.7% (-0.03)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 77.15% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.85% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 43.41% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 56.58% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Morecambe 32.62%
Draw 25.4%
Salford City 41.97%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 8.15% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.65% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
Salford City
0-1 @ 9.46% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.97%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Ossama Ashley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lund 47' goal
  • yellowcard Rhys Williams 16'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Connor McLennan 13' goal
  • Karl Robinson 35' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 50' goal
  • Curtis Tilt 79' goal
  • Connor McLennan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerard Garner 34'
  • goal Theo Vassell 61' (OG)
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Michael Mellon 25' goal
  • redcard Matthew Lund 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena
  • Yann Songo'o 49' yellowcard
  • Sam Lavelle 90' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'+4' goal
  • Aaron Wildig 90'+6' goal
  • goal Brandon Thomas-Asante 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Oscar Threlkeld 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Jordan Turnbull 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Vaclav Hladky 90'+9'
League Two Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Alex Denny 6' yellowcard
  • Martin Smith 10' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 28' yellowcard
  • Bruno Andrade 36' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hunter 41' goal
  • Ashley Hunter 44' goal
  • Tom Elliott 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 40'
  • goal Cole Stockton 54'
  • yellowcard Yann Songo'o 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Cooney 90'+3'
EFL Trophy
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • James Wilson 44' goal
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 75' yellowcard
  • Ibou Touray 79' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hunter 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 1'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 43'