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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Morecambe

Chesterfield
4 - 1
Morecambe

Grigg (45+1'), Palmer (61'), Olakigbe (75'), Naylor (80')
McFadzean (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slew (59')
Taylor (56'), Stott (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 Bradford
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Salford City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-0 Morecambe

Although Morecambe will be playing for pride in this game, it may matter little against a determined Chesterfield side. We are backing the home team to score a goal in each half to seal a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawMorecambe
64.69% (-1.318 -1.32) 19.49% (0.321 0.32) 15.82% (0.99 0.99)
Both teams to score 55.28% (1.345 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.564 0.56)38.98% (-0.572 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.59 0.59)61.3% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.187 -0.19)11.35% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.95% (-0.402 -0.4)36.05% (0.395 0.4)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (1.642 1.64)37.64% (-1.649 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (1.569 1.57)74.42% (-1.575 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 64.68%
    Morecambe 15.82%
    Draw 19.49%
ChesterfieldDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 64.68%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.49%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.24 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.82%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Morecambe
2-5
Chesterfield
Tollitt (10'), Naylor (62' og.)
Dackers (22'), Stott (84'), White (86'), Edwards (90+6')
Markanday (8'), Oldaker (49'), Berry (75'), Dobra (82'), Grimes (89')
Grigg (67'), Metcalfe (68')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-2
Chesterfield
Thompson (16'), Lang (33')
Thompson (26'), Kenyon (26')
Dennis (55'), Kellett (74')
Brown (76')
Oct 14, 2017 3pm
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 5, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
4-3
Chesterfield
Ellison (47'), Hughes (62'), Sampson (71'), Amond (86')
Hughes (24'), Wright (66')
Doyle (5', 23'), McSheffrey (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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