League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
4 - 1
Morecambe

Grigg (45+1'), Palmer (61'), Olakigbe (75'), Naylor (80')
McFadzean (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Slew (59')
Taylor (56'), Stott (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 Bradford
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Salford City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Morecambe
64.69% ( -1.32)	19.49% ( 0.32)	15.82% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02% (

0.56)

38.98% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.7% (

0.59)

61.3% (

-0.6)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

-0.19)

11.35% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.95% (

-0.4)

36.05% (

0.4)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

1.64)

37.64% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

1.57)

74.42% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 64.68%

Morecambe 15.82%

Draw 19.49%

Chesterfield	Draw	Morecambe
2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.68%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.49%	1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.82%