Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.