Derry

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Dundalk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.