J1 League | Gameweek 18

May 25, 2025 at 6am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Taniguchi (31', 31'), Komi (71', 71')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Phellype (20', 20')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Okayama 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, May 18 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, May 17 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
38.89% ( -0.03)	26.4% ( -0)	34.71% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

0.01)

52.01% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

73.75% (

-0)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

-0.02)

26.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

-0.02)

61.23% (

0.02)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.02)

28.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

0.03)

64.39% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 38.88%

Shonan Bellmare 34.71%

Draw 26.39%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.71%