Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 7am UK
Suita City Football Stadium

Gamba Osaka
4 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Hummet (2', 2'), Kishimoto (13', 13', 29', 29'), Nakatani (35', 35')
Usami (45+1'), Usami (45+1'), Nakatani (50'), Nakatani (50')
FT(HT: 8-0)

Oiwa (40'), Oiwa (40')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
44.64% (1.059 1.06)26.1% (-0.23 -0.23)29.26% (-0.832 -0.83)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.263 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.549 0.55)52.43% (-0.551 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.469 0.47)74.1% (-0.471 -0.47)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.753 0.75)23.39% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (1.083 1.08)57.38% (-1.084 -1.08)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.325 -0.33)32.49% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.367 -0.37)69.02% (0.364 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 44.64%
    Shonan Bellmare 29.26%
    Draw 26.1%
Gamba OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.26%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 11am
Gameweek 24
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Shonan Bellmare

Matsuda (56'), Usami (76')
Hata (83')
Suzuki (19'), Min-tae (28')
Jun 1, 2024 7am
Gameweek 17
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lukian (78')
Fukuda (25')
Usami (29', 65')
Nakatani (14'), Dawhan (52'), Felipe (75')
Aug 19, 2023 11am
Gameweek 24
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Alano (37'), Usami (61' pen.)
Dawhan (77'), Takao (90+5')
Ohashi (90+6')
Min-tae (59'), Hiraoka (82'), Onose (87')
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Gameweek 6
Shonan Bellmare
4-1
Gamba Osaka
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Ohashi (43')
Sugioka (56'), Ishihara (90+4')
Sugioka (80')