Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.