J1 League | Gameweek 16

May 11, 2025 at 6.05am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Urawa

Hasegawa (74', 74')
Kasai (60'), Kasai (60'), Gomes (78'), Gomes (78'), Arai (90'), Arai (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nagakura (80', 80')
Watanabe (29'), Watanabe (29')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
29.51% ( 0.3)	25.33% ( 0.24)	45.16% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-0.88)

49.14% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-0.8)

71.21% (

0.8)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

-0.24)

30.62% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

-0.28)

66.85% (

0.28)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.61)

21.75% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.94)

54.94% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 29.51%

Urawa Red Diamonds 45.15%

Draw 25.33%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.51%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.15%