Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.