J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 at 6am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Urawa
0 - 1
Gamba Osaka


Ogiwara (79'), Ogiwara (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamashita (53', 53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 4-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawGamba Osaka
38.76% (1.649 1.65)26.86% (0.468 0.47)34.38% (-2.117 -2.12)
Both teams to score 51.21% (-1.712 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-2.084 -2.08)53.92% (2.085 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-1.779 -1.78)75.37% (1.78 1.78)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)27.11% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)62.5% (0.058 0.06)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-2.303 -2.3)29.73% (2.304 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (-2.888 -2.89)65.8% (2.887 2.89)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 38.76%
    Gamba Osaka 34.38%
    Draw 26.85%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.818 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.527 0.53)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.637 0.64)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.372 -0.37)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.38%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 11am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Urawa

Dawhan (27')
Sekine (49')
Apr 20, 2024 8am
Gameweek 9
Urawa
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Sakamoto (77')
Sep 24, 2023 9am
Gameweek 28
Gamba Osaka
1-3
Urawa
Usami (17')
Usami (59'), Kurokawa (59'), Fukuda (90+8')
Kante (29'), Takahashi (68'), Linssen (85')
Sakai (16')
Kante (59')
May 14, 2023 8am
Gameweek 13
Urawa
3-1
Gamba Osaka
Scholz (45+2' pen.), Okubo (54'), Yasui (59')
Jebali (23')
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Urawa
Saito (33')
Sakamoto (36'), Dawhan (86'), Higashiguchi (90+5')
Scholz (90+2' pen.)
Hirano (49'), Sakai (90+6')