J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 3, 2025 at 7am UK

National Olympic Stadium

Urawa
2 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Matsuo (6', 6'), Watanabe (31', 31')
Haraguchi (90+2'), Haraguchi (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Hirakawa (38'), Hirakawa (38')
Taniguchi (73'), Taniguchi (73')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Hiroshima
Friday, April 25 at 11.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions

Last Game: Okayama 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
42.78% ( 0.11)	27.27% ( -0.17)	29.96% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38% (

0.65)

56.62% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

0.53)

77.59% (

-0.52)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

0.36)

26.2% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.48)

61.29% (

-0.47)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

0.4)

34.17% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

0.42)

70.86% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 42.78%

Tokyo Verdy 29.96%

Draw 27.26%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.96%