Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.