J1 League | Gameweek 15

May 7, 2025 at 11am UK

Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Hiroshima

Min-tae (5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Germain (6' pen.)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 4-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 3 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24.37% ( -0.06)	25.25% ( 0.02)	50.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8% (

-0.13)

52.2% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09% (

-0.11)

73.91% (

0.12)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

-0.12)

36.35% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

-0.13)

73.13% (

0.13)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

-0.04)

20.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.65% (

-0.06)

53.35% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 24.37%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.38%

Draw 25.24%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.37%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.38%