J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 3, 2025 at 5am UK

EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Kato (67', 67'), Germain (90+8' pen., 90+8' pen.)
Kawabe (24'), Kawabe (24'), Suga (82'), Suga (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miki (86' pen., 86' pen.)
Wellington (47'), Wellington (47')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Tuesday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Tuesday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
53.02% ( 0.16)	26.26% ( -0.04)	20.73% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.87% (

0.01)

59.13% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.43% (

0.01)

79.57% (

-0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

0.07)

22.46% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

0.11)

56% (

-0.11)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-0.13)

43.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20% (

-0.11)

80% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53.01%

Avispa Fukuoka 20.73%

Draw 26.25%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.01%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.73%