Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.