UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 8, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Djurgarden

(Chelsea win 5-1 on aggregate)

Dewsbury-Hall (38')
Adarabioyo (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stensson (53')

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Djurgardens IF

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Djurgarden 1-1 AIK
Sunday, May 4 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Djurgardens IF win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Djurgardens IF
65.5% ( -2.6)	18.75% ( 0.77)	15.75% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.45% (

0.33)

35.55% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.4% (

0.37)

57.6% (

-0.38)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

-0.54)

10.16% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.59% (

-1.24)

33.4% (

1.23)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.42% (

2.61)

35.58% (

-2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65% (

2.6)

72.35% (

-2.61)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 65.5%

Djurgardens IF 15.75%

Draw 18.75%

Chelsea	Draw	Djurgardens IF
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.62) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.65) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.27) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.11% Total : 65.5%	1-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.75%	1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.41% Total : 15.75%