Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.