Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Pafos
1 - 0
Djurgarden

Tankovic (65')
Luckassen (84'), Pileas (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Danielsson (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Pafos FC and Djurgardens IF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pafos 2-1 Omonia
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-1 Legia
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pafos FC in this match.

Result
Pafos FCDrawDjurgardens IF
41.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.1%32.15%
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Pafos FC 41.74%
    Djurgardens IF 32.15%
    Draw 26.1%
Pafos FCDrawDjurgardens IF
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.15%

How you voted: Pafos vs Djurgarden

Pafos FC
66.2%
Draw
17.6%
Djurgardens IF
16.2%
68