We said: Omonia 1-1 Pafos FC
This match could go under the radar to many, but it should be a very intriguing clash against two in-form sides from the same nation, who are building something of a rivalry given their regular meetings.
Pafos have performed better both domestically and in Europe, but Omonia have home advantage, as well as much more experience in European competition, making it devilishly difficult to call ahead of the first leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.