Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
3 - 0
Pafos

Nguen (6', 86'), Fallenius (35'), Stensson (69')
Nguen (68'), Schuller (81'), Stensson (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sema (48'), Sunjic (57'), Luckassen (60'), Tankovic (61'), Silva (82'), Pepe (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Djurgardens IF and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pafos 1-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Pafos 1-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawPafos FC
48.93% (0.085999999999999 0.09)23.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)44.4% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.088000000000001 0.09)66.77% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.067999999999998 0.07)18.26% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.117 0.12)49.3% (-0.117 -0.12)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)29.89% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 48.93%
    Pafos FC 27.16%
    Draw 23.91%
Djurgardens IFDrawPafos FC
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 27.16%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Pafos

Djurgardens IF
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Pafos FC
16.7%
54
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Pafos
1-0
Djurgarden
Tankovic (65')
Luckassen (84'), Pileas (90+2')

Danielsson (90+8')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!