Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Sao Paulo
36.55% ( -0.02)	29.63% ( -0.01)	33.82% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.08% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.04% (

0.02)

63.96% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.84% (

0.02)

83.15% (

-0.02)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-0)

33.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

70.07% (

-0)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

0.03)

35.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

0.03)

72.04% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 36.55%

Sao Paulo 33.82%

Draw 29.62%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62%	0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.82%