Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.1%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 1-0 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.