Copa Libertadores
Apr 22, 2025 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
  • Jose Guerrero 11' goal
  • Jose Guerrero 57' goal
  • Carlos Zambrano 73' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Enrique 80' yellowcard
  • Carlos Zambrano 82' redcard
  • Hernan Barcos 90'+5' goal
  • goal Federico Girotti 62'
  • goal Federico Girotti 69'
  • yellowcard Federico Girotti 70'
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 72'
  • yellowcard Rick 88'

Alianza Lima vs Talleres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 1.30am
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Alianza Lima

Talleres

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 11.00pm
Libertad 2 - 0 Talleres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alianza Lima would win this match.

Result

Alianza Lima 36.75% (-0.16)
Draw 28.79% (+0.01)
Talleres 34.46% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.43% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.87% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 61.13% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 18.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 81.09% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 7.72% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 92.28% (+0.01)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 68.16% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 31.84% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 31.72% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 68.28% (+0.12)

Talleres Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 33.34% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 30.04% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 69.96% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Alianza Lima 36.74%
Draw 28.78%
Talleres 34.46%
Alianza Lima
1-0 @ 12.14% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.78%
Talleres
0-1 @ 11.66% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.4% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.46%