Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 22, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
3 - 2
Talleres

Guerrero (11', 57'), Barcos (90+5')
Zambrano (73'), Enrique (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Girotti (62' pen., 69')
Girotti (70'), Navarro (72'), Rick (88')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Talleres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Talleres

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Talleres 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, April 18 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alianza Lima would win this match.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Talleres
36.75% ( -0.16)	28.79% ( 0)	34.46% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 45.43% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.87% (

-0)

61.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.91% (

-0)

81.09% (

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.1)

31.84% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

-0.11)

68.28% (

0.11)

Talleres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.1)

33.34% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

0.11)

69.96% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 36.74%

Talleres 34.46%

Draw 28.78%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Talleres
1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.46%