Copa do Brasil
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Luciano
21'
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Luciano
21'
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Luciano
46'
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Luciano
46'
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Luciano
51'
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Luciano
51'
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Caio Vitor da Silva Souza
17'
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Caio Vitor da Silva Souza
17'
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Auremir
51'
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Auremir
51'
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Igor Fernandes
58'
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Igor Fernandes
58'
Sao Paulo vs Nautico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nautico had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Nautico win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Sao Paulo
77.44%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
15.02%
▼
(-0.11)
Nautico
7.54%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
42.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.91%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
41.09%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
36.52%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
63.48%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 4.5
19.41%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
80.58%
▼
(-0.18)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
91.23%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
8.76%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
69.9%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
30.1%
▼
(-0.23)
Nautico Goals
Over 0.5
46.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
53.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
12.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
87.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Sao Paulo
77.42%
Draw
15.02%
Nautico
7.54%
Sao Paulo
2-0
@
13.95%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 11.46% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 77.42%
1-0 @ 11.46% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 77.42%
Draw
1-1
@
7.12%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.02%
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.02%
Nautico
0-1
@
2.92%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 7.54%
1-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 7.54%