Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nautico had a probability of 7.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Nautico win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Nautico
77.44% ( 0.17)	15.02% ( -0.1)	7.54% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 42.2% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.91% (

0.22)

41.09% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.52% (

0.22)

63.48% (

-0.22)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

0.09)

8.76% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.9% (

0.22)

30.1% (

-0.23)

Nautico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.26% (

-0.04)

53.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.89% (

-0.02)

87.11% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 77.42%

Nautico 7.54%

Draw 15.02%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Nautico
2-0 @ 13.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 77.42%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 15.02%	0-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 7.54%