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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
4 - 1
Millwall

Hyam (42'), Tronstad (45+1', 59'), Brittain (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ivanovic (44')
Harding (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Millwall

Blackburn's fortunes seem to be gradually turning in the right direction, but it is too little, too late, and even a win here would not be enough to put them back in the promotion picture. Millwall are four points better off and will fancy their chances of fighting until the very end for a spot in the top six, and a win here would do them wonders, but they have not won here for 12 years and the hectic schedule could affect their chances with numerous injuries at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
43.55% (1.398 1.4) 27.07% (0.607 0.61) 29.38% (-2.002 -2)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-2.736 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-3.08 -3.08)56.11% (3.085 3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-2.559 -2.56)77.18% (2.564 2.56)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.672 -0.67)25.56% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.93 -0.93)60.43% (0.933 0.93)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-3.054 -3.05)34.33% (3.056 3.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-3.405 -3.41)71.04% (3.409 3.41)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.55%
    Millwall 29.38%
    Draw 27.06%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.97% (1.15 1.15)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.636 0.64)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.993 0.99)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.419 -0.42)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.307 -0.31)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
30.8%
Draw
19.2%
Millwall
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
1-0
Blackburn
Ivanovic (90+6')

Travis (6'), Gueye (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Blackburn
1-1
Millwall
Szmodics (63')
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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