Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Camiel Neghli 65' goal
  • Femi Azeez 88' yellowcard

Millwall vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Millwall 34.3% (+0.02)
Draw 27.72% (-0.06)
Middlesbrough 37.98% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.53% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.71% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 57.29% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 21.87% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 78.13% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.43% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 90.57% (-0.10)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 68.52% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.48% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 32.14% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 67.86% (-0.13)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 29.18% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 34.88% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 65.12% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Millwall 34.29%
Draw 27.72%
Middlesbrough 37.98%
Millwall
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.72%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 10' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 37' yellowcard
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 54'
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 90'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Joe Bryan 10' goal
  • George Honeyman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Engel 38'
  • goal Isaiah Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • goal Romain Esse 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 80'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Marcus Forss 54' goal
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Zian Flemming 5' goal
  • Zian Flemming 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Cooper 4' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ballard 16' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 19' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 19'