Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Neghli (65')
Azeez (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
34.3% ( 0.01)	27.72% ( -0.05)	37.98% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.71% (

0.2)

57.29% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

0.16)

78.13% (

-0.16)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

0.11)

31.48% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

0.13)

67.86% (

-0.13)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

0.12)

29.18% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

0.15)

65.12% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Millwall 34.29%

Middlesbrough 37.98%

Draw 27.72%

Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.29%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.98%