Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.