Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Charleroi
53.7% ( -3.62)	23.1% ( 0.83)	23.2% ( 2.78)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

-0.34)

44.33% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.33)

66.7% (

0.33)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

-1.35)

16.45% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

-2.49)

46.15% (

2.49)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

2.43)

33.05% (

-2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

2.6)

69.65% (

-2.6)

Score Analysis

Union SG 53.7%

Charleroi 23.2%

Draw 23.09%

Union SG	Draw	Charleroi
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.72) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.7) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.7%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.2%