Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 0
BW Linz

Horvat (26' pen.), Boving (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diabate (31'), Moormann (67')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and BW Linz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 13 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

BW Linz

All competitions
Last Game: BW Linz 1-2 Wolfsberger
Friday, April 11 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for BW Linz had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a BW Linz win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawBW Linz
55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)23.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)21.32% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.28% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 54.99%
    BW Linz 21.32%
    Draw 23.68%
Sturm GrazDrawBW Linz
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.32%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sturm Graz
2-1
BW Linz
Kiteishvili (18' pen.), Junior Yalcouye (43')
Karic (53')
Pasic (83')
Tursch (90+3')
Sep 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 8
BW Linz
1-2
Sturm Graz
Goiginger (33')
Goiginger (45'), Strauss (45+1')
Biereth (18'), Kiteishvili (71' pen.)
Yardimci (79'), Gazibegovic (90'), Chukwuani (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
BW Linz
1-1
Sturm Graz
Seidl (19')
Strauss (71'), Koch (90+3')
Horvat (48')
Lavalee (90+1'), Ilzer (90+7')
Serrano (54')
Aug 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 5
Sturm Graz
4-1
BW Linz
Wlodarczyk (1', 61'), Haudum (7' og.), Sarkaria (76' pen.)
Serrano (27')
Affengruber (54' og.)
rhs 2.0


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