Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsberger	Draw	Sturm Graz
45.7% ( 0.06)	24.31% ( -0.05)	29.99% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

0.19)

44.41% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

0.19)

66.78% (

-0.19)

Wolfsberger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

0.1)

19.57% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

0.17)

51.49% (

-0.17)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.09)

27.89% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.11)

63.5% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Wolfsberger 45.7%

Sturm Graz 29.99%

Draw 24.3%

Wolfsberger	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.99%