Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Mar 9, 2025 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Grazer
1 - 2
Sturm Graz

Perchtold (78')
Schriebl (9'), Lichtenberger (33'), Maderner (45'), Tikvic (66'), Perchtold (79'), Perchtold (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kiteishvili (86'), Junior Yalcouye (90+2')
Chukwuani (81'), Junior Yalcouye (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Grazer AK and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grazer AK

All competitions
Last Game: Grazer 1-2 Austria Vienna
Saturday, March 1 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, March 2 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Grazer AKDrawSturm Graz
36.65% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)25.37% (-0.029 -0.03)37.98% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.125 0.13)47.35% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.116 0.12)69.57% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Grazer AK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.24% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)59.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.116 0.12)24.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.163 0.16)58.97% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Grazer AK 36.65%
    Sturm Graz 37.98%
    Draw 25.36%
Grazer AKDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
Sturm Graz
5-2
Grazer
Gazibegovic (34'), Kiteishvili (40', 79'), Biereth (50'), Meierhofer (64')
Geyrhofer (23'), Gazibegovic (36'), Junior Yalcouye (46')
Maderner (54'), Rosenberger (56')
Graf (12'), Jovicic (25'), Maderner (33'), Cipot (54'), Rosenberger (59'), Cheukoua (61')