Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.