Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 1
BW Linz

Kiteishvili (18' pen.), Junior Yalcouye (43')
Karic (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pasic (83')
Tursch (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and BW Linz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsberger 3-0 Sturm Graz
Saturday, February 15 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

BW Linz

All competitions
Last Game: BW Linz 1-3 Rheindorf Altach
Saturday, February 15 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for BW Linz had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a BW Linz win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawBW Linz
51.89% (-0.776 -0.78)25.11% (0.242 0.24)23% (0.533 0.53)
Both teams to score 49.4% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.428 -0.43)52.86% (0.427 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.364 -0.36)74.47% (0.364 0.36)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.48299999999999 -0.48)20.37% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-0.774 -0.77)52.78% (0.77200000000001 0.77)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.27 0.27)37.96% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.261 0.26)74.73% (-0.262 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.88%
    BW Linz 23%
    Draw 25.1%
Sturm GrazDrawBW Linz
1-0 @ 12.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 8
BW Linz
1-2
Sturm Graz
Goiginger (33')
Goiginger (45'), Strauss (45+1')
Biereth (18'), Kiteishvili (71' pen.)
Yardimci (79'), Gazibegovic (90'), Chukwuani (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
BW Linz
1-1
Sturm Graz
Seidl (19')
Strauss (71'), Koch (90+3')
Horvat (48')
Lavalee (90+1'), Ilzer (90+7')
Serrano (54')
Aug 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 5
Sturm Graz
4-1
BW Linz
Wlodarczyk (1', 61'), Haudum (7' og.), Sarkaria (76' pen.)
Serrano (27')
Affengruber (54' og.)