Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Feb 15, 2025 at 4pm UK
Lavanttal Arena

Wolfsberger
3 - 0
Sturm Graz

Zukic (17', 23'), Schopf (83')
Omic (58'), Gattermayer (74'), Gattermayer (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kiteishvili (49'), Jasic (90+2'), Malic (90+2')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Wolfsberger and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, February 8 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Austria Vienna
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.

Result
WolfsbergerDrawSturm Graz
51.87% (0.424 0.42)23.66% (-0.106 -0.11)24.46% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (0.163 0.16)45.53% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (0.155 0.15)67.86% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Wolfsberger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.21900000000001 0.22)17.56% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.381 0.38)48.1% (-0.383 -0.38)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)32.62% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-0.203 -0.2)69.16% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsberger 51.87%
    Sturm Graz 24.46%
    Draw 23.66%
WolfsbergerDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 24.46%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sturm Graz
0-3
Wolfsberger

Karic (41'), Lavalee (77'), Gazibegovic (89')
Ballo (20'), Atanga (72'), Kojzek (90+5')
Nwaiwu (90+3')
Mar 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 21
Sturm Graz
4-0
Wolfsberger
Biereth (66'), Sarkaria (70'), Lavalee (85'), Affengruber (89')
Kiteishvili (2'), Gorenc Stankovic (27')

Altunashvili (55'), Zimmermann (58'), Bonmann (70'), Boakye (83'), Baumgartner (90+3')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsberger
1-2
Sturm Graz
Dante (40' og.)
Leitgeb (3'), Altunashvili (64'), Scherzer (81')
Sarkaria (54'), Kiteishvili (59')
Hierlander (42'), Wuthrich (70'), Gorenc Stankovic (75'), Scherpen (90+4')