Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.