Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Austria Vienna

Jatta (29'), Boving (61')
Geyrhofer (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Prelec (37'), Fitz (74' pen.)
Perez Vinlof (47'), Potzmann (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Austria Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Last Game: Austria Vienna 3-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna
30.79% (-0.908 -0.91)25.56% (-0.237 -0.24)43.65% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.66699999999999 0.67)49.5% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.595 0.59)71.53% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.28 -0.28)29.9% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.34 -0.34)66% (0.342 0.34)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.842 0.84)22.6% (-0.84 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (1.234 1.23)56.22% (-1.232 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 30.79%
    Austria Vienna 43.65%
    Draw 25.55%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.104 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.65%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna

Sturm Graz
58.8%
Draw
17.6%
Austria Vienna
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Austria Vienna
2-2
Sturm Graz
Perez Vinlof (60'), Galvao (74')
Perez Vinlof (35'), Fischer (59'), Fitz (77')
Boving (24'), Jatta (41')
Jatta (45+1'), Karic (48'), Karic (49'), Gazibegovic (88')
Karic (53'), Jatta (57')
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sturm Graz
0-1
Austria Vienna

Lavalee (76'), Prass (90+1')
Gruber (14')
Ranftl (5'), Meisl (69'), Fruchtl (87'), Holland (89'), Fischer (90+3')
Jul 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Austria Vienna
0-3
Sturm Graz

Jukic (87')
da Graca (33')
Gazibegovic (9'), Wlodarczyk (38'), Affengruber (60')
Prass (15'), Kiteishvili (71'), Sarkaria (74'), Boving (79')