LASK
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Raiffeisen Arena

LASK
1 - 2
Sturm Graz

Smolcic (58')
Ljubicic (31'), Ziereis (41'), Stojkovic (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kiteishvili (33'), Zvonarek (84')
Biereth (36'), Jatta (58'), Johnston (90+9')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between LASK Linz and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 LASK
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LASK LinzDrawSturm Graz
37.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.91% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.32% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.46% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)25.21% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)59.95% (0.012 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)25.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60.4% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    LASK Linz 37.5%
    Sturm Graz 36.91%
    Draw 25.57%
LASK LinzDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 37.5%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.91%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
LASK
2-2
Sturm Graz
Flecker (20'), Ljubicic (76' pen.)
Kiteishvili (30', 48')
Prass (44'), Kiteishvili (57'), Lavalee (75')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sturm Graz
1-0
LASK
Prass (20')
Affengruber (70')

Usor (35'), Jovicic (86')
Nov 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
LASK
3-1
Sturm Graz
Usor (36'), Stojkovic (45+1'), Zulj (90+1')
Bello (3'), Zulj (17'), Horvath (35'), Stojkovic (58'), Mustapha (90+3')
Wlodarczyk (60')
Ilzer (9'), Prass (29'), Teixeira (54'), Johnston (90+6')
Aug 5, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
2-0
LASK
Horvat (27'), Wlodarczyk (77')
Kiteishvili (45+1')

Ljubic (38'), Stojkovic (73'), Mustapha (76')