Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mar 2, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yorbe Vertessen 72' goal
  • Nene Dorgeles 84' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 45'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 53'

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 4.00pm
Austria Vienna 0 - 1 Salzburg
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Nene Dorgeles

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 2 - 1 BW Linz
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 51.51% (-0.01)
Draw 22.43% (-0.01)
Sturm Graz 26.06% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 38.42% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 39.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 60.7% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 78.42% (-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 84.9% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.09% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.36%
Under 1.5 43.63% (-0.01)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.56% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.08% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 51.51%
Draw 22.42%
Sturm Graz 26.06%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04%
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.42%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 26.06%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Malick Junior Yalcouye 15' goal
  • Mika Biereth 30' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 41' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 51' goal
  • Mika Biereth 62' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kamil Piatkowski 66'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bajcetic 90'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Apr 28, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Nene Dorgeles 72' goal
  • Karim Konate 82' goal
  • Oumar Solet 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Prass 1'
  • goal Alexander Prass 34'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 60'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mar 31, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 45' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 78' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 90'+6' redcard
  • Dimitri Lavalee 90'+10' redcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Gluh 31'
  • goal Mads Bidstrup 48'
  • yellowcard Petar Ratkov 89'
  • redcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Alexander Schlager 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 90'+12'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Petar Ratkov 15' goal
  • Mamady Diambou 33' yellowcard
  • Fernando 47' yellowcard
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 80'
  • yellowcard David Schnegg 90'+1'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 6' goal
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 16' yellowcard
  • Christian Ilzer 45' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 53' goal
  • Manprit Sarkaria 63' goal
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 71' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 77' yellowcard
  • David Schnegg 77' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 85' yellowcard
  • Alexander Prass 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samson Baidoo 40'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 45'+8'
  • goal Sekou Koita 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 77'
  • yellowcard Amar Dedic 77'