Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sturm Graz
51.51% ( -0.01)	22.43% ( -0)	26.06% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58% (

0.01)

38.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29% (

0.01)

60.7% (

-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9% (

-0)

15.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36%

43.63% (

-0)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

0.01)

27.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

0.01)

63.08% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 51.51%

Sturm Graz 26.06%

Draw 22.42%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.04% 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.06%