Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.