Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grazer AK win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grazer AK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.