Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Mar 16, 2025 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
LASK

Sturm Graz
4 - 2
LASK

Horvat (31'), Kiteishvili (50' pen.), Boving (83', 90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Keba Cisse (77'), Zulj (85')
Boateng (49'), Bello (69')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and LASK Linz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Grazer 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, March 9 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: LASK 2-1 Swarovski
Sunday, March 9 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawLASK Linz
46.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (0.093 0.09)69.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)20.23% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (0.085000000000001 0.09)52.56% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.046000000000006 0.05)29.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.054000000000002 0.05)66.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 46.51%
    LASK Linz 28.77%
    Draw 24.71%
Sturm GrazDrawLASK Linz
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 28.77%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 11
LASK
1-2
Sturm Graz
Smolcic (58')
Ljubicic (31'), Ziereis (41'), Stojkovic (89')
Kiteishvili (33'), Zvonarek (84')
Biereth (36'), Jatta (58'), Johnston (90+9')
May 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
LASK
2-2
Sturm Graz
Flecker (20'), Ljubicic (76' pen.)
Kiteishvili (30', 48')
Prass (44'), Kiteishvili (57'), Lavalee (75')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sturm Graz
1-0
LASK
Prass (20')
Affengruber (70')

Usor (35'), Jovicic (86')
Nov 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
LASK
3-1
Sturm Graz
Usor (36'), Stojkovic (45+1'), Zulj (90+1')
Bello (3'), Zulj (17'), Horvath (35'), Stojkovic (58'), Mustapha (90+3')
Wlodarczyk (60')
Ilzer (9'), Prass (29'), Teixeira (54'), Johnston (90+6')
Aug 5, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
2-0
LASK
Horvat (27'), Wlodarczyk (77')
Kiteishvili (45+1')

Ljubic (38'), Stojkovic (73'), Mustapha (76')