Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.