Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.